The November Budget brings new tax considerations that could shape affordability and property plans across the UK—including here in Wales. While the new levy on homes over £2m won’t directly impact most of the Cardiff market, wider tax freezes and investor confidence could influence demand, pricing and timing for those looking to move in 2026.
The November Budget may not have shaken the headlines, but its ripple effects could be felt in the housing market throughout 2025 and into 2026.
For many Welsh households, the key change is the ongoing freeze on income tax thresholds until 2030–31. With wages rising but tax bands not moving, more buyers could find their disposable income squeezed—particularly first-time buyers and upsizers working to stretch into higher property price bracket.
In Wales, where average house prices sit below the UK "high-end", the new annual levy on £2m+ properties (from 2028)is unlikely to impact typical local transactions. However, tax pressure at the top can shift overall buyer behaviour. In markets like Cardiff, where we rely heavily on steady movement rather than ultra-luxury transactions, softening confidence can lead to:
🏡 More emphasis on realistic pricing
⏱️ Longer decision-making cycles
💬 Better negotiating conditions for prepared buyers
For sellers:
The Cardiff market remains active, but pricing correctly from day one matters more than ever. Well-presented, market-aligned homes are attracting offers—while overly ambitious pricing could lead to longer listing times, especially as affordability tightens.
For buyers:
Good news, less urgency across some sectors means more breathing space and improved purchase opportunities. Those planning for early 2026 may find more stock, reduced competition in key brackets, and room to negotiate on homes that tick the long-term value box.
For investors:
Higher tax burdens could see some landlords pause, which may temporarily subdue demand in investor-heavy postcodes. This can open doors for owner-occupier buyers, especially near the city centre and commuter corridors.
🔍 Want to stay ahead of the market?
💬 Thinking of a move next year?
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The housing market in Wales isn’t in crisis, but it is entering a phase where planning beats panic, and preparation beats pressure. 2026 could be an exciting time to make your move with clarity and confidence!